EPEC NEWS

From EPEC Team Newsletter:

Virginia’s 2024 General Election tallies for President, U.S. Senate, and its 11 Congressional Districts were called soon after Election Day — but electoral boards are still plowing through a record number of provisional ballots in the official count.

The deadline for localities to report out their results is tomorrow (Nov. 15th).

Given the deluge of Same Day Voting tallies during Early Voting and on Election Day, extensions may be in the works. Many localities were still going through provisional ballots and SDR ballots as of Thursday.

According to the latest tallies the Dept. of Elections is updating daily on its statistics page, some 123,478 Same Day Registrations and Provisional ballots were cast during the entire election in Virginia (early voting and Election Day).

Here’s Fairfax County Elections Department with a video clip of the scene as of yesterday:

Though Election Day was more than a week ago, staff remains hard at work processing votes for the final tallies. [On Nov. 12]  16,009 ballots were scanned and counted after these ballots were accepted by the Electoral Board.

As of Nov. 13th, the totals below are showing the Top 20 localities: ballots cast, early voting SDR, Election Day SDRs, followed by the official registered voter-list tallies by ELECT as of Nov. 1st, followed by the unofficial registered voters.

The increases are likely driven by the SDR ballots being reviewed throughout the canvas, which may even continue throught the weekend, depending on their progress.

(Mobile viewers can “pinch up” to zoom into the image.)

Source: Virginia Dept. of Elections (official registration lists, unofficial Election Night reporting)

The tallies should be showing any duplications that were said to have been removed on Nov. 12 this week (known as “data deduplication”).

There is no question the tallies are impacting voter-registration populations.

Using Dept. of Elections’ voter-registration tallies as of Nov. 1st (shown in orange below), EPEC Team has charted the registration numbers (shown in blue) compared to Nov. 13th as SDR and other provisional tallies are checked in the state voter registration database (VERIS).

(Mobile viewers can “pinch up” to zoom into the image.)

The tallies should be showing any duplications that were said to have been removed on Nov. 12 this week (known as “data deduplication”).

There is no question the tallies are impacting voter-registration populations.

Using Dept. of Elections’ voter-registration tallies as of Nov. 1st (shown in orange below), EPEC Team has charted the registration numbers (shown in blue) compared to Nov. 13th as SDR and other provisional tallies are checked in the state voter registration database (VERIS).

(Mobile viewers can “pinch up” to zoom into the image.)

See more about the statistics and daily tallies (including change logs) here.

Other key deadlines coming up:

—Nov. 15 is the deadline to report local results (barring any extensions necessary).

—Nov. 18 is the next meeting of the Commonwealth’s State Department of Elections, which is expected to determine audit procedures. See the agenda here.

—Dec. 2nd: The Dept. of Elections meets (first Monday in December) to certify the results. From there, it’s on to Virginia’s electoral college meeting on Dec. 17 on votes for the Jan. 6th certification in Congress.

DATA RELIABILITY UPDATES:

He writes:

EPEC monitored and archived the election night reporting (“ENR”) files published by the VA Department of Elections (“ELECT”) for the 2024 General Election, using the “media export” link at the bottom of the page to periodically download a JSON file with the data. On this page you will find the plots of the Locality reported summary counts from the JSON files as they changed over time.

As we noted in our post discussing some of our observations on the reliability of the JSON data feed, there are a few “glitches” that can be noticed in the data plots below. While we are unsure as to the cause of the “glitches” in the data, it does not appear that any of them affected the outcome of the election.

He has made similar observations from the Presidential election tallies in the JSON feed. EPEC Team has more reports to follow about the reliability of data feeds during the election, as well as the electoral process during early voting and Election Day, more on SDR final numbers, and the audits that are ahead.

So it’s fair to say EPEC Team is still publishing with more frequency as the election tallies wind down. We will keep you posted. For now, that’s a wrap. #